Champions League Qualification Scenarios - The Path To The Knockout Stage

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Nov 24, 2009 9:59:11 PM

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Want to know who can qualify for the next round of the Champions League? Or see who has already qualified for the Champions League knock-out stage? You're in the right place. Here we look at the path to the last sixteen - who's scaled it, who's fallen off it, and who's still in with a chance of completing it.

The top two teams qualify for the Round of 16, with clubs finishing top of their group enjoying a seeded place for that round of the knockout stage. Teams finishing third end up in the Europa League. Those who end up fourth exit European competition entirely.

Right now, eight teams have already qualified:

  • Bordeaux
  • Manchester United
  • Chelsea
  • Porto
  • Lyon
  • Sevilla
  • Fiorentina
  • Arsenal

So... who's next?

Last update: November 24, 2009, 22:55 CET / 21:55 GMT

GROUP A

Team Games Goals
  Pts P W D L F A
Bordeaux 10 4 3 1 0 6 2Qualified
Juventus 8 4 2 2 0 3 1
Bayern Munich 4 4 1 1 2 4 4
Maccabi Haifa 0 4 0 0 4 0 6

  • Bordeaux have qualified from Group A. They have yet to guarantee top spot. (Victory for Bordeaux over Juventus will be sufficient for this.)
  • Juventus have not yet qualified. If Juventus beat Bordeaux in matchday 5 they will guarantee at least second place and thus qualify. Either that, or they must hope that Bayern Munich lose to Maccabi Haifa.
  • Bayern Munich need Juventus to fail to beat Bordeaux to keep their hopes of qualification alive.
  • Maccabi Haifa cannot qualify for the next stage. They must beat Bayern Munich to be in with a chance of finishing 3rd for the Europe League spot.

GROUP B

Team Games Goals
  Pts P W D L F A
Man Utd. 10 4 3 1 0 7 4Qualified
VfL Wolfsburg 7 4 2 1 1 7 3
CSKA 4 4 1 1 2 6 8
Besiktas 1 4 0 1 3 1 6

  • Manchester United have qualified from Group B. They have yet to guarantee top spot, which they can do by beating Besiktas if Wolfsburg drop points to CSKA Moscow. (A draw and a Wolfsburg loss is also sufficient.)
  • Wolfsburg have not yet qualified. If Wolfsburg beat CSKA Moscow on matchday 5 they will guarantee at least second place and thus qualify, and can still fight for first place. If they draw instead they will qualify too, but if they do this and Manchester United beat Besiktas they can only finish second.
  • CSKA Moscow have not yet qualified. They welcome Wolfsburg on the next matchday, currently holding an inferior head-to-head record to the Germans, having lost to them 3-1. They must win to be in with a chance of qualification for the next stage. Even if they fail to do so, gaining more points than Besiktas on matchday 5 will guarantee third place.
  • Besiktas are unable to qualify for the next stage due to having an inferior head-to-head record with Wolfsburg. They must either beat Manchester United or hope that CSKA Moscow lose to Wolfsburg to keep their hopes of third place alive.

GROUP C

Team Games Goals
  Pts P W D L F A
Milan74
2
1
1
6
5

Real Madrid 7
 4 2 1 1 11
 6
Marseille 6 4 2 0 2 8 6
FC Zurich 3 4 1 0 3 4 12

  • No team has yet qualified from Group C.
  • If Real Madrid beat Zurich and Milan beat Marseille, both of these teams qualify for the next stage.
  • Marseille cannot qualify for the next stage in the next matchday but if they lose to Milan and Real Madrid beat Zurich they can only finish third or fourth.
  • If FC Zurich lose to Real Madrid, they will be out of European competition entirely. If they win, they keep their hopes of qualification for the next stage alive.

GROUP D

Team Games Goals
  Pts P W D L F A
Chelsea 10 4 3 1 0 8 2Qualified
Porto 9 4 3 0 1 5 2Qualified
Atletico Madrid 2 4 0 2 2 2 8
APOEL 1 4 0 1 3 1 4

  • Chelsea have already qualified. In the race for first place, they have a superior head-to-head record with Porto (1-0 win), and a one point advantage. Victory over Porto on the next matchday will guarantee top spot.
  • Porto have already qualified. Defeat to Chelsea in the next matchday will result in second place; a draw or a win leaves top spot open.
  • Atletico Madrid are unable to qualify. They battle for third place and the Europa League spot. At present their head-to-head record with APOEL features only a 0-0 draw.
  • APOEL are unable to qualify and are a point behind Atletico Madrid in the race for the UEFA Cup spot.
Last update: November 24th 2009, 22:55 CET / 21:55 GMT

GROUP E

Team Games Goals
  Pts P W D L F A
Fiorentina12
5
4
0
1
12
6
Qualified
O. Lyon 10 5
 3 1
 1
 8
 3
Qualified
Liverpool 7 2
 1 1 2 4 5
Debrecen 0 5
 0 0 5 5 15

  • Fiorentina have qualified for the next stage but have yet to guarantee top spot. A win against Liverpool in the next matchday will guarantee top spot, as will a draw providing that Lyon fail to beat Debrecen by two or more goals.
  • Lyon have qualified for the next stage. They must beat Debrecen by two or more goals in the next matchday while hoping that Fiorentina draw with Liverpool; or beat Debrecen by any margin if Fiorentina lose, to finish first.
  • Liverpool are eliminated from the Champions League and drop into the Europa League.
  • Debrecen are out of Europe.

GROUP F

Team Games Goals
  Pts P W D L F
 A
Barcelona8
5
2
2
1
5
2

Inter Milan 6
 5
 1
 3
 1 5
 6
Rubin6
5
1
3
1
4
5

Dynamo 5
 5
 1 2
 2 6 7

  • No team has yet qualified from Group F.
  • Barcelona need only draw with Dynamo Kiev in Ukraine to guarantee qualification; or lose providing that Rubin Kazan beat Inter.
  • Inter need only beat Rubin to guarantee qualification; or draw less than 2-2 providing that Barcelona do not lose to Dynamo Kiev.
  • Rubin must beat Inter to guarantee qualification.
  • Dynamo Kiev must beat Barcelona, and hope that Inter draw with Rubin Kazan, to guarantee qualification.
GROUP G

Team Games Goals
  Pts P W D L F A
Sevilla 10 5
 3 1 1 10 4Qualified
Unirea Urziceni 8 5
 2 2 1 7 5
VfB Stuttgart 6
 5
 1 3 1 6 6
Rangers 2
 5
 0 2 3 4 12

  • Sevilla have qualified for the next stage. A draw with Rangers in the final matchday will see them guarantee top spot.
  • Unirea must avoid defeat in Stuttgart to secure second place. The worst they can finish is third.
  • Stuttgart must beat Unirea to secure second place. The worst they can finish is third.
  • Rangers are out of European competition.

GROUP H

Team Games Goals
  Pts P W D L F A
Arsenal 13 4 3 1 0 10 4Qualified
Olympiakos 7 4 2 0 2 3 5
Standard 4 4 1 1 2 6 6
Alkmaar 3
 4 0 2 2 3 7

  • Arsenal have qualified for the next stage in first place.
  • Olympiakos need only avoid defeat to qualify in second place. If they lose, and Standard fail to beat AZ, they will also qualify.
  • Standard must beat AZ while hoping that Olympiakos lose to Arsenal in order to secure second place. If Standard win and Olympiakos gain at least a point, Standard will finish third. If Standard draw, they will finish third. If Standard lose, they will finish fourth.
  • AZ Alkmaar can only finish a maximum of third place. They must beat Standard to attain this position.

See also:
Champions League standings, fixtures, results
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